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For the first time in its thousand year
history, Russia is becoming an integrated
part of the larger world. The sustained
strength of all quoted financial Russian
markets — currency, debt and equity —
are testimony to the reality of changes
in the country's political and social
spheres, as well as to real progress in
the management of Russia's economy. The
five-year rally in Russian assets from
the stunning lows of 1998 reflects Russia's
place not only as a vibrant developing
market, but its unique role as a great
power striving to reassert itself on the
global stage.
Russia's economic prospects through 2005
may be summarized by:
- stable and competitive rouble loosely
pegged at 30–32 to $1
- stable real GDP growth of 5%
- stable real industrial production
growth of 4%
- strong gross fixed investment rising
at 8% annually
- falling moderate inflation trending
towards 10%
- falling moderate unemployment declining
to 6%
- manageable, rapidly shrinking government
debt
- rapidly rising real wages (since
1998 a sixfold rise in real wages)
With this momentum, opportunities abound.
But so do risks — especially for those
not yet familiar with the specific circumstances,
personalities and drivers of the former
Soviet Union. In assessing and balancing
those risks, Alfa Capital's deep knowledge
of Russia, and its team's wide experience
in the country's development, make it
source of great value to its clients;
the backing of Alfa Bank and the Alfa
Group, among the most respected leaders
of the new Russia, make Alfa Capital a
reliable and trusted partner for investors
both at home and abroad.
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